Selected outcome
At least 36%
wide spread 77–88%
At least 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Idaho Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 34%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 36%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 38%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 40%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 42%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 44%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 46%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 48%
Will Elinor Gilbreath receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elinor Gilbreath in the 2026 ID-02 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.