Selected outcome
At least 64%
wide spread 4–15%
At least 64%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Idaho Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 52%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 54%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 56%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 58%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- At least 60%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- At least 62%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$240 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 64%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 66%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 68%
Will Mike Simpson receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 ID-02 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Simpson in the 2026 ID-02 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.