Selected outcome
At least 26%
72%
At least 26% · 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 24%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
86%
Open · ~$172 24h · ~$344 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91¢
- At least 30%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
29%
Open · ~$58 24h · ~$117 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 20%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 22%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 26%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$172 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 28%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 32%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 34%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 36%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 38%
Will Lupe Castillo receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lupe Castillo in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.