Selected outcome
At least 46%
wide spread 4–15%
14%
At least 46% · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 34%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Bid 91¢
- At least 36%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 38%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 40%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- At least 42%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- At least 44%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 46%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 48%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 50%
Will Paul Nolley receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.