Selected outcome
At least 72%
wide spread 2–13%
At least 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Frankfort, KY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 58%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 60%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 62%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,775 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- At least 64%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
- At least 66%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- At least 68%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 70%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 72%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 74%
Will Morgan McGarvey receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Morgan McGarvey in the 2026 KY-03 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.