Selected outcome
At least 38%
wide spread 38–49%
At least 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Frankfort, KY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 44%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 46%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 48%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- At least 28%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 30%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 32%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 34%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$162 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 36%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 38%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–49%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 40%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 42%
Will Melissa Strange receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Melissa Strange in the 2026 KY-04 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.