Selected outcome
At least 30%
At least 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Frankfort, KY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 16%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 18%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 20%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 22%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$126 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 24%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$473 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 26%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 28%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 30%
Will Ned Pillersdorf receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ned Pillersdorf in the 2026 KY-05 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.