Selected outcome
At least 48%
wide spread 63–74%
At least 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Frankfort, KY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 46%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 48%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
- At least 50%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 52%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 54%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$534 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 56%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 58%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 60%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 62%
Will Ralph Alvarado receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 KY-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ralph Alvarado in the 2026 KY-06 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.