Selected outcome
At least 46%
At least 46%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 5%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 7%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 10%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 12%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 14%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 2%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 4%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 6%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$320 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 8%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 30%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$293 vol
Ask 5¢
- At least 32%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- At least 34%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$163 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 36%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 38%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 40%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 42%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$167 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 44%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 46%
Will Dan McKay receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dan McKay in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.