Selected outcome
At least 12%
wide spread 32–43%
At least 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Annapolis, MD (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 10%
Will George McDermott receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
- At least 12%
Will George McDermott receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- At least 14%
Will George McDermott receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 16%
Will George McDermott receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 18%
Will George McDermott receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 2%
Will George McDermott receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
last
Bid 94¢
- At least 4%
Will George McDermott receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,371 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 6%
Will George McDermott receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$478 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 8%
Will George McDermott receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
wide spread 66–77%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George McDermott in the 2026 MD-04 House election is 12% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.