Selected outcome
At least 40%
wide spread 29–40%
At least 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 34%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 36%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- At least 38%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–55%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 40%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
- At least 42%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 44%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 46%
Will Michael Chiaradio receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Chiaradio in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.