Selected outcome
At least 66%
wide spread 13–24%
At least 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 54%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 56%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92¢
- At least 58%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 60%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- At least 62%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 64%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–36%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 36¢
- At least 66%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 68%
Will Michael Guest receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MS-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Guest in the 2026 MS-03 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.