Selected outcome
At least 62%
wide spread 7–18%
At least 62%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Helena, MT (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 54%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$480 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 56%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$442 vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 58%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$220 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- At least 60%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,333 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 62%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 64%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 66%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 68%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 70%
Will Troy Downing receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Downing in the 2026 MT-02 House election is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.