Selected outcome
At least 44%
At least 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 34%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 36%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–63%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 63¢
- At least 38%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- At least 40%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 42%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 44%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 46%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 48%
Will Michael McGuire receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-03 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael McGuire in the 2026 NJ-03 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.