Selected outcome
At least 28%
At least 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 14%
Will George Marsh receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 16%
Will George Marsh receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 18%
Will George Marsh receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 20%
Will George Marsh receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 22%
Will George Marsh receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- At least 24%
Will George Marsh receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- At least 26%
Will George Marsh receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 28%
Will George Marsh receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- At least 30%
Will George Marsh receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George Marsh in the 2026 NY-05 House election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.