Selected outcome
At least 16%
wide spread 49–60%
59%
At least 16% · 59%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 10%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 12%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 14%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$299 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 16%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$233 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
- At least 18%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$311 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- At least 20%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 22%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 6%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 8%
Will Caroline Shinkle receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Caroline Shinkle in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.