Selected outcome
At least 4%
At least 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 1%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 2%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 3%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 4%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$590 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 5%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$348 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 6%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 7%
Will Karen Ortiz receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.