Selected outcome
At least 3%
last
8%
At least 3% · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 1%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$195 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 2%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 3%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
last
Ask 9¢
- At least 4%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- At least 5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- At least 6%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- At least 7%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lucian Wintrich in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.