Selected outcome
At least 80%
wide spread 58–69%
At least 80%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 74%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 76%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 78%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$158 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 80%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 82%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$271 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
- At least 84%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 86%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 88%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 88% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 90%
Will Micah Lasher receive at least 90% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.