Selected outcome
At least 68%
wide spread 7–18%
At least 68%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 56%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 58%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 60%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 62%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- At least 64%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 66%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 68%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 70%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 10¢
- At least 72%
Will Paul Tonko receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Tonko in the 2026 NY-20 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.