Selected outcome
At least 34%
wide spread 60–71%
At least 34%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 28%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 30%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 32%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 34%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- At least 36%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 38%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 40%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 42%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- At least 44%
Will Ralph Ambrosio receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-20 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ralph Ambrosio in the 2026 NY-20 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.