Selected outcome
At least 52%
wide spread 2–14%
At least 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 46%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
51%
Open · ~$24 24h · ~$204 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 48%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
31%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$253 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 36¢
- At least 52%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 34%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,190 vol
last
Bid 94¢
- At least 36%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$374 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 38%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$935 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 40%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,626 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 42%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,580 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 44%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- At least 50%
Will Blake Gendebien receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 10–22%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 22¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Blake Gendebien in the 2026 NY-21 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.