Selected outcome
At least 36%
wide spread 75–86%
At least 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 34%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 36%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 38%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 40%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- At least 42%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 44%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 46%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- At least 48%
Will Aaron Gies receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Gies in the 2026 NY-23 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.