Selected outcome
At least 68%
wide spread 24–35%
At least 68%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Election Board, Oklahoma City, OK (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 56%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 58%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 60%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 62%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- At least 64%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- At least 66%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- At least 68%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 70%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 72%
Will Tom Cole receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Cole in the 2026 OK-04 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.