Selected outcome
At least 56%
wide spread 82–93%
At least 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 54%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 56%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 58%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 74–85%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 85¢
- At least 60%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$130 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- At least 62%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 64%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- At least 66%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- At least 68%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 70%
Will Madeleine Dean receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Madeleine Dean in the 2026 PA-04 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.