Selected outcome
At least 40%
4%
At least 40% · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 31%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–55%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 24%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 26%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 28%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 30%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,647 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 32%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
- At least 34%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 36%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 38%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 40%
Will Nicholas Manganaro receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-05 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nicholas Manganaro in the 2026 PA-05 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.