Selected outcome
At least 44%
wide spread 6–17%
At least 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 30%
Will James Hayes receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 32%
Will James Hayes receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92¢
- At least 34%
Will James Hayes receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$790 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 36%
Will James Hayes receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,200 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 38%
Will James Hayes receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- At least 40%
Will James Hayes receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- At least 42%
Will James Hayes receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 44%
Will James Hayes receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 46%
Will James Hayes receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Hayes in the 2026 PA-12 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.