Selected outcome
At least 48%
wide spread 7–18%
At least 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 48%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 50%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 32%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 34%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 36%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 38%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 40%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 42%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 44%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 46%
Will Justin Wagner receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Justin Wagner in the 2026 PA-16 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.