Selected outcome
At least 54%
wide spread 61–72%
At least 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 50%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 52%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 54%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 56%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- At least 58%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 60%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 62%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- At least 64%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 66%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 68%
Will Mike Kelly receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-16 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Kelly in the 2026 PA-16 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.