Selected outcome
At least 46%
6%
At least 46% · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Pierre, SD (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 30%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 32%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 34%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 36%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 38%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 40%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 42%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 44%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 46%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 48%
Will Nikki Gronli receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 SD-AL House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Nikki Gronli in the 2026 SD-AL House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.