Selected outcome
At least 68%
wide spread 58–69%
At least 68%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 62%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 64%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 66%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$840 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 68%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,142 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 70%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 72%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 74%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- At least 76%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 78%
Will Joaquin Castro receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-20 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Joaquin Castro in the 2026 TX-20 House election is 68% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.