Selected outcome
At least 30%
wide spread 67–78%
At least 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 24%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 26%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 28%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 30%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–78%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 78¢
- At least 32%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 34%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 36%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 30–41%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 41¢
- At least 38%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 40%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 42%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 44%
Will Jonny Larsen receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jonny Larsen in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.