Selected outcome
At least 20%
97%
At least 20% · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 16%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 18%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 20%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 22%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$235 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 24%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,899 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 26%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 28%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
- At least 30%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 32%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 34%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 36%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 38%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Robert Murray in the 2026 VA-04 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.