Selected outcome
At least 48%
79%
At least 48% · 79%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 48%
Will John McGuire receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
79%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 46%
Will John McGuire receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 50%
Will John McGuire receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,026 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 52%
Will John McGuire receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 54%
Will John McGuire receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,150 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 56%
Will John McGuire receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 58%
Will John McGuire receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 60%
Will John McGuire receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 62%
Will John McGuire receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John McGuire in the 2026 VA-05 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.