Selected outcome
At least 40%
95%
At least 40% · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 45%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- At least 38%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 40%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 42%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 44%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$330 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 46%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 48%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 50%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- At least 52%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 54%
Will Tom Perriello receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-05 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Perriello in the 2026 VA-05 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.