Selected outcome
At least 46%
40%
At least 46% · 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 36%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 38%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 40%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 42%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 44%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 46%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 45¢
- At least 48%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 50%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 52%
Will Carmela Conroy receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Carmela Conroy in the 2026 WA-05 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.