Selected outcome
At least 52%
wide spread 63–74%
63%
At least 52% · 63%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 48%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 50%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 52%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
- At least 54%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 44–55%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 56%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 58%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 60%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 62%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 64%
Will Michael Baumgartner receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-05 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Baumgartner in the 2026 WA-05 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.