Selected outcome
At least 72%
wide spread 69–80%
At least 72%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 66%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 68%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 70%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 72%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 74%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
- At least 76%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 78%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 80%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 82%
Will Adam Smith receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 WA-09 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Adam Smith in the 2026 WA-09 House election is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.