Selected outcome
At least 86%
4%
At least 86% · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Wisconsin Elections Commission, Madison, WI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 70%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 72%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 74%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 76%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$158 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 78%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
- At least 80%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 82%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 84%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 86%
Will Gwen Moore receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-04 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Gwen Moore in the 2026 WI-04 House election is 86% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.