Selected outcome
At least 48%
wide spread 7–18%
At least 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Wisconsin Elections Commission, Madison, WI (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 34%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 36%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 38%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 40%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 42%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 44%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–49%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 46%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 48%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 50%
Will Brad Smith receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-06 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Brad Smith in the 2026 WI-06 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.