Selected outcome
At least 2%
90%
At least 2% · 90%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 1%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 2%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$186 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 3%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 4%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 36¢
- At least 5%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 6%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 7%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 8%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.