Selected outcome
At least 54%
4%
At least 54% · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 45%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 36%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 38%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 40%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 42%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$860 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 44%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 46%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 48%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 50%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 52%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- At least 54%
Will Dan S. Sullivan receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dan S. Sullivan in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.