Selected outcome
At least 46%
78%
At least 46% · 78%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 47%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 42%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 44%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 46%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$794 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 48%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,321 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 50%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$832 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 52%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 54%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.