Selected outcome
At least 51%
53%
At least 51% · 53%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 51%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 51% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 42%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 44%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 46%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$922 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 48%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 50%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$791 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 52%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 54%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- At least 56%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- At least 58%
Will Mary Peltola receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.