Selected outcome
At least 50%
5%
At least 50% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 48%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 50%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 32%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 34%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 36%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 38%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92¢
- At least 40%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$232 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 76¢
- At least 42%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$297 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 44%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 25–36%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 36¢
- At least 46%
Will Hallie Shoffner receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.