Selected outcome
At least 48%
97%
At least 48% · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 48%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 50%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 52%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 54%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$337 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- At least 56%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- At least 58%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 60%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 62%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 64%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- At least 66%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 68%
Will Tom Cotton receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Cotton in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.