Selected outcome
At least 52%
wide spread 73–84%
At least 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Idaho Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 46%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 48%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 55%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- At least 50%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,168 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 52%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$476 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 54%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 56%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$214 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- At least 58%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 25–36%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 36¢
- At least 60%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- At least 62%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 64%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 66%
Will Jim Risch receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Risch in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.