Selected outcome
At least 6%
wide spread 14–25%
20%
At least 6% · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Idaho Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 4%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
38%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$171 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 1%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$727 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 2%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,060 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢
- At least 3%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- At least 5%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$192 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 6%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- At least 7%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$171 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Natalie Fleming in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 6% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.