Selected outcome
At least 45%
wide spread 54–65%
At least 45%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Montana Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 43%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 46%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$193 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 47%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 49%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 48%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 35%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 40%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,406 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 45%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,234 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- At least 50%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 55%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 60%
Will Kurt Alme receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kurt Alme in the 2026 Montana Senate election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.