Selected outcome
At least 15%
98%
At least 15% · 98%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Montana Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 30%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
94%
Open · ~$185 24h · ~$1,252 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 37%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
43%
Open · ~$86 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- At least 33%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 33% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$162 vol
wide spread 76–88%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 15%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 20%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$137 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 25%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$370 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 35%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,181 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 40%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$580 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 45%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Seth Bodnar in the 2026 Montana Senate election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.